SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 68.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 10.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.45%) and 3-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Tunisia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Tunisia.
| Result | ||
| Tunisia | Draw | Malawi |
68.25% ( -0.07) | 21.25% ( 0.04) | 10.51% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 35.63% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.5% ( -0.07) | 57.5% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.71% ( -0.06) | 78.29% ( 0.06) |
| Tunisia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.91% ( -0.05) | 16.09% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.52% ( -0.09) | 45.48% ( 0.09) |
| Malawi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.46% ( 0.02) | 57.54% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.66% ( 0.01) | 89.34% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tunisia | Draw | Malawi |
| 1-0 @ 16.91% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 15.45% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.54% 3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 68.24% | 1-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 2.36% ( 0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.25% | 0-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.4% Total : 10.51% |
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