SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Caledonia win with a probability of 61.08%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Solomon Islands had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Caledonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Solomon Islands win it was 1-0 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New Caledonia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Solomon Islands | Draw | New Caledonia |
17.06% ( -1.75) | 21.86% ( -0.69) | 61.08% ( 2.43) |
| Both teams to score 50.03% ( -1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.71% ( 0.17) | 47.29% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.48% ( 0.16) | 69.52% ( -0.16) |
| Solomon Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.86% ( -1.95) | 41.14% ( 1.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.32% ( -1.78) | 77.68% ( 1.78) |
| New Caledonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85% ( 0.86) | 15% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.55% ( 1.6) | 43.45% ( -1.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Solomon Islands | Draw | New Caledonia |
| 1-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.4)2-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.15)Other @ 1.87% Total : 17.06% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.24)Other @ 0.91% Total : 21.85% | 0-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 11.1% ( 0.57)1-2 @ 9.86% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 7.02% ( 0.55)1-3 @ 6.24% ( 0.18)0-4 @ 3.33% ( 0.35)1-4 @ 2.96% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.26% ( 0.17)1-5 @ 1.12% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.38% Total : 61.07% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
