SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solomon Islands win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for New Caledonia had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solomon Islands win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a New Caledonia win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Solomon Islands in this match.
| Result | ||
| Solomon Islands | Draw | New Caledonia |
55.42% ( 1.76) | 22.82% ( 0.13) | 21.76% ( -1.89) |
| Both teams to score 54.95% ( -2.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.28% ( -2.7) | 44.72% ( 2.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.91% ( -2.66) | 67.08% ( 2.66) |
| Solomon Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84% ( -0.35) | 15.99% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.69% ( -0.65) | 45.31% ( 0.65) |
| New Caledonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.41% ( -3.18) | 34.59% ( 3.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.69% ( -3.53) | 71.31% ( 3.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Solomon Islands | Draw | New Caledonia |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( 1.03) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.84)3-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.45)3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.31)4-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.16)5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.42% Total : 55.42% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.62)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.43)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.22)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.81% | 0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.4)0-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.34)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.34)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.07% Total : 21.76% |
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