SM
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 79.13%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 5.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.39%) and 0-3 (12.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.71%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-0 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Marino | Draw | Romania |
5.88% ( 0.24) | 14.98% ( 0.34) | 79.13% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 33.56% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.46% ( -0.45) | 47.54% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.25% ( -0.42) | 69.75% ( 0.42) |
| San Marino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 37.26% ( 0.48) | 62.74% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.01% ( 0.22) | 91.99% ( -0.22) |
| Romania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.06% ( -0.26) | 9.94% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.12% ( -0.6) | 32.88% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Marino | Draw | Romania |
| 1-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.41% Total : 5.88% | 1-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.23% Total : 14.98% | 0-2 @ 16.61% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 14.39% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 12.79% ( -0.19)1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 7.38% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 5.96% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.44% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 3.41% ( -0.13)1-5 @ 1.59% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)0-6 @ 1.31% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.1% Total : 79.12% |
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