SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Namibia win with a probability of 49.49%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 20.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Namibia win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.25%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Namibia | Draw | Equatorial Guinea |
49.49% ( -0.12) | 30.29% ( 0.02) | 20.22% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 34.12% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.09% ( 0.03) | 70.91% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.19% ( 0.02) | 87.81% ( -0.02) |
| Namibia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.38% ( -0.05) | 29.62% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.34% ( -0.06) | 65.66% ( 0.06) |
| Equatorial Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.49% ( 0.14) | 51.51% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.31% ( 0.09) | 85.69% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Namibia | Draw | Equatorial Guinea |
| 1-0 @ 18.56% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.01% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.19% Total : 49.48% | 0-0 @ 15.25% ( -0.02) 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 30.28% | 0-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 20.22% |
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