SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 82.82%. A draw has a probability of 13% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe has a probability of 4.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win is 2-0 with a probability of 17.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (14.8%) and 3-0 (14.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (6.12%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it is 0-1 (2.29%).
| Result | ||
| Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Sao Tome & Principe |
82.82% ( -0.19) | 13.04% ( 0.07) | 4.14% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 28.42% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.9% ( 0.25) | 47.1% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.66% ( 0.23) | 69.34% ( -0.23) |
| Equatorial Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.11% ( 0.01) | 8.89% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.58% ( 0.03) | 30.42% ( -0.03) |
| Sao Tome & Principe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 31.19% ( 0.61) | 68.81% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 5.47% ( 0.23) | 94.53% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Sao Tome & Principe |
| 2-0 @ 17.91% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 14.8% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 14.45% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.05)6-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 3% Total : 82.8% | 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.06) 1-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.13% Total : 13.04% | 0-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.81% Total : 4.14% |
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