SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liberia win with a probability of 74.96%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 6.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liberia win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (17.27%) and 3-0 (11.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.57%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liberia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liberia | Draw | Sao Tome & Principe |
74.96% ( -0.66) | 18.05% ( 0.4) | 6.99% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 30.89% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.51% ( -0.64) | 55.48% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.33% ( -0.53) | 76.67% ( 0.53) |
| Liberia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.68% ( -0.39) | 13.31% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.84% ( -0.79) | 40.15% ( 0.79) |
| Sao Tome & Principe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 35.63% ( 0.31) | 64.36% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.27% ( 0.14) | 92.72% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liberia | Draw | Sao Tome & Principe |
| 2-0 @ 17.42% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 17.27% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 11.71% ( -0.22)2-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.14% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.64% Total : 74.95% | 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.21) 1-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.05% | 0-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.54% Total : 6.99% |
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