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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 23, 2025 at 1pm UK
Nyayo National Stadium
GN

Kenya
vs.
Gabon

 

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Gambia 3-3 Kenya
Thursday, March 20 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Gabon 3-0 Seychelles
Thursday, March 20 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Morocco337
2Gabon315
3Comoros3-23
4Ghana3-21

We say: Kenya 1-0 Gabon

Gabon have had the stronger campaign so far, and while they have not been particularly dominant across all competitions — registering four wins, two draws and three defeats in their last nine matches — they have shown resilience on the road, claiming two victories and a draw. However, Kenya's long-awaited return to home soil, backed by a passionate crowd at Nyayo Stadium, could tilt the balance in their favour in a contest where both teams are likely to find the net. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gabon win with a probability of 40.15%. A draw has a probability of 30.6% and a win for Kenya has a probability of 29.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.24%) and 1-2 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (13.46%), while for a Kenya win it is 1-0 (12.09%).

Result
KenyaDrawGabon
29.28% (0.113 0.11) 30.57% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 40.15% (-0.105 -0.1)
Both teams to score 39.68% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.47% (0.049999999999997 0.05)67.53% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.38% (0.033999999999999 0.03)85.62% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Kenya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.28% (0.122 0.12)40.72% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.7% (0.111 0.11)77.3% (-0.111 -0.11)
Gabon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.93% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)33.07% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.34% (-0.044 -0.04)69.66% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Kenya 29.27%
    Gabon 40.15%
    Draw 30.56%
KenyaDrawGabon
1-0 @ 12.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.01% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.44% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.8% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.63% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 29.27%
0-0 @ 13.46% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-1 @ 13.38%
2-2 @ 3.33% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 30.56%
0-1 @ 14.9% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.24% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.04% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 40.15%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Gambia 3-3 Kenya
Thursday, March 20 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Tanzania 0-2 Kenya
Tuesday, January 7 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Burkina Faso 1-1 Kenya
Saturday, January 4 at 5.15pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Kenya 0-0 Namibia
Tuesday, November 19 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Zimbabwe 1-1 Kenya
Friday, November 15 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Kenya 0-1 Cameroon
Monday, October 14 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Gabon 3-0 Seychelles
Thursday, March 20 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: CAR 0-1 Gabon
Monday, November 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Gabon 1-5 Morocco
Friday, November 15 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Lesotho 0-2 Gabon
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Gabon 0-0 Lesotho
Friday, October 11 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Gabon 2-0 CAR
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying


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