SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| Current League C Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dominica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | British Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turks and Caicos | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Dominica had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Dominica win was 0-1 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guatemala | Draw | Dominica |
38.63% ( -1.23) | 28.64% ( 0.14) | 32.73% ( 1.09) |
| Both teams to score 45.6% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.2% ( -0.27) | 60.8% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.16% ( -0.2) | 80.84% ( 0.21) |
| Guatemala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.48% ( -0.86) | 30.52% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.26% ( -1.03) | 66.74% ( 1.04) |
| Dominica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.64% ( 0.64) | 34.36% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.93% ( 0.68) | 71.07% ( -0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guatemala | Draw | Dominica |
| 1-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.62% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.63% | 0-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.28% Total : 32.73% |
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