SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Congo | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Angola | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 | Cameroon | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Congo had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Congo win it was 1-0 (9.37%).
| Result | ||
| Congo | Draw | Zambia |
21.85% ( 0.41) | 28.23% ( 0.68) | 49.92% ( -1.1) |
| Both teams to score 40.05% ( -1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.63% ( -1.73) | 64.37% ( 1.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.55% ( -1.24) | 83.45% ( 1.24) |
| Congo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.26% ( -0.58) | 45.73% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.49% ( -0.46) | 81.51% ( 0.46) |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.81% ( -1.31) | 26.19% ( 1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.72% ( -1.79) | 61.28% ( 1.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Congo | Draw | Zambia |
| 1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.66% Total : 21.85% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.74)2-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.41% Total : 28.22% | 0-1 @ 16.04% ( 0.42) 0-2 @ 10.75% ( -0.11)1-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.23)0-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.25)0-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.14)Other @ 1.82% Total : 49.91% |
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