SM
| Current League C Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dominica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | British Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turks and Caicos | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 62.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for British Virgin Islands had a probability of 17.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a British Virgin Islands win it was 1-0 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.
| Result | ||
| British Virgin Islands | Draw | Guatemala |
17.24% ( -0.07) | 20.71% ( -0.02) | 62.05% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 54.2% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.07% ( -0.01) | 41.93% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.66% ( -0.01) | 64.33% ( 0.01) |
| British Virgin Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.28% ( -0.08) | 37.72% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.5% ( -0.08) | 74.5% ( 0.08) |
| Guatemala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.03% ( 0.02) | 12.97% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.53% ( 0.05) | 39.46% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| British Virgin Islands | Draw | Guatemala |
| 1-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 17.24% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.71% | 0-2 @ 10.2% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.95% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.95% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.77% ( 0)0-4 @ 3.55% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.46% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 3.33% Total : 62.05% |
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