World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Mar 20, 2025 at 12am UK

Australia
vs.
Indonesia

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Australia and Indonesia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

All competitions

Last Game: Australia 0-0 Saudi Arabia
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: China vs. Australia
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Indonesia

All competitions

Last Game: Indonesia 0-4 Japan
Friday, November 15 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Indonesia vs. Bahrain
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

We say: Australia 2-0 Indonesia

The two nations drew in their first meeting last year and are only separated by a single point in third-round qualifying, but we see Australia coming out on top on Thursday thanks to home advantage and the superior quality in their squad. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Australia win with a probability of 72.63%. A draw has a probability of 17% and a win for Indonesia has a probability of 10.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.84%) and 3-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Indonesia win it is 0-1 (3.5%).

Result
Australia	Draw	Indonesia
72.63% ( -0.19)	17.02% ( 0.03)	10.34% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 47.37% (

0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.01% (

0.36)

40.98% (

-0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.63% (

0.37)

63.37% (

-0.37)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.11% (

0.04)

9.88% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.24% (

0.11)

32.75% (

-0.11)

Indonesia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.57% (

0.55)

47.43% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.19% (

0.41)

82.81% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Australia 72.62%

Indonesia 10.34%

Draw 17.02%

Australia	Draw	Indonesia
2-0 @ 12.55% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 3.4% Total : 72.62%	1-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.75% Total : 17.02%	0-1 @ 3.5% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 10.34%