Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Reading Women had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Reading Women win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
