Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
