SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Bristol City Women win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
29.79% ( -0.08) | 23.01% ( 0.09) | 47.19% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 62.49% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.55% ( -0.47) | 38.44% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.26% ( -0.5) | 60.73% ( 0.5) |
| Bristol City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.96% ( -0.29) | 25.03% ( 0.29) |
