SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 80.26%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Benfica Women had a probability of 6.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.06%) and 0-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.09%), while for a Benfica Women win it was 1-0 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica Women | Draw | Barcelona Women |
6.85% ( -0.1) | 12.89% ( -0.17) | 80.26% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 46.88% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.89% ( 0.47) | 33.1% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.15% ( 0.54) | 54.84% ( -0.54) |
| Benfica Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.07% ( 0.08) | 49.92% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 15.39% ( 0.05) | 84.6% ( -0.05) |
| Barcelona Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.61% ( 0.15) | 6.39% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 76.04% ( 0.41) | 23.96% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica Women | Draw | Barcelona Women |
| 1-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 6.85% | 1-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.7% Total : 12.89% | 0-2 @ 12.06% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 11.06% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.14)1-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 7.69% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 7.61% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 5.29% ( 0.06)0-5 @ 4.19% ( 0.07)1-5 @ 2.91% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)0-6 @ 1.92% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.03)1-6 @ 1.33% ( 0.04)2-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.53% Total : 80.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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