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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Colwyn Bay win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Colwyn Bay |
39.79% ( 0.02) | 23.77% ( 0.05) | 36.44% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 62.27% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.21% ( -0.23) | 39.79% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.85% ( -0.24) | 62.15% ( 0.25) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.74% ( -0.09) | 20.26% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.39% ( -0.15) | 52.61% ( 0.15) |
| Colwyn Bay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.1% ( -0.14) | 21.9% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.85% ( -0.21) | 55.15% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Colwyn Bay |
| 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.01% Total : 39.79% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.76% | 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 36.44% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 22 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 77 | 14 | 63 | 62 |
| 2 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 59 | 29 | 30 | 47 |
| 3 | Bala TownBala Town | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 37 |
| 4 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 34 |
| 5 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 33 |
| 6 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 31 |
| 7 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 28 |
| 8 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 28 |
| 9 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 23 |
| 10 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 18 | 46 | -28 | 15 |
| 11 | Colwyn Bay | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 27 | 49 | -22 | 14 |
| 12 | Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 13 |
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