Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 64.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 15.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.