SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 53.64%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 23.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.75%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
23.28% ( -0.11) | 23.07% ( 0.11) | 53.64% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.11% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.86% ( -0.61) | 44.13% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.48% ( -0.6) | 66.51% ( 0.6) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.12% ( -0.44) | 32.87% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.55% ( -0.49) | 69.44% ( 0.48) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.59% ( -0.22) | 16.4% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.94% ( -0.4) | 46.06% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 2-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 23.28% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.07% | 1-2 @ 9.8% 0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 5.91% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 5.31% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.67% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.26% Total : 53.64% |
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