Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
-1.09) 
0.27) 
