SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Flint Town United | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
55.01% ( 0.23) | 23.47% ( -0.08) | 21.51% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 52.47% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.15% ( 0.14) | 47.84% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.97% ( 0.13) | 70.02% ( -0.13) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.74% ( 0.13) | 17.25% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.42% ( 0.24) | 47.57% ( -0.24) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.41% ( -0.07) | 36.59% ( 0.07) |
