SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Bala Town |
32.8% ( -0) | 24.92% ( -0.05) | 42.28% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.25% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.02% ( 0.21) | 45.98% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.72% ( 0.2) | 68.28% ( -0.2) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.15% ( 0.1) | 26.85% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.85% ( 0.13) | 62.15% ( -0.13) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.26% ( 0.11) | 21.74% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.08% ( 0.18) | 54.92% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Bala Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.1% Total : 32.8% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.91% | 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.46% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 42.28% |
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