SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 77.89%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 8.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.49%) and 0-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.66%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 1-0 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barry Town United | Draw | The New Saints |
8.01% ( 0.02) | 14.1% ( 0.07) | 77.89% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 48.27% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.43% ( -0.27) | 34.57% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.49% ( -0.3) | 56.5% ( 0.3) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.99% ( -0.13) | 48% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.76% ( -0.1) | 83.23% ( 0.1) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.83% ( -0.08) | 7.17% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 73.94% ( -0.21) | 26.06% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barry Town United | Draw | The New Saints |
| 1-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 2.44% ( 0)2-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 8.01% | 1-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 14.1% | 0-2 @ 11.95% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 10.49% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.09)1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 7.71% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 6.92% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 5.08% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 3.65% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 2.68% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)0-6 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)1-6 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 77.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 17 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 59 | 12 | 47 | 47 |
| 2 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 24 | 32 | 41 |
| 3 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 33 |
| 4 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 32 |
| 5 | Bala TownBala Town | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 28 |
| 6 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 27 |
| 7 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 24 |
| 8 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 22 |
| 9 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 16 |
| 10 | Colwyn Bay | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 14 |
| 11 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 11 |
| 12 | Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 8 | 28 | -20 | 7 |
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