Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
