Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
