Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Cerrito had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Cerrito win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
