SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 51.89%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Rentistas had a probability of 22.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Rentistas win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Rentistas |
51.89% ( -0.11) | 25.13% ( 0.03) | 22.98% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.3% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.03% ( -0.04) | 52.97% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.43% ( -0.03) | 74.57% ( 0.03) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.59% ( -0.06) | 20.41% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.15% ( -0.1) | 52.85% ( 0.1) |
| Rentistas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.95% ( 0.05) | 38.05% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.18% ( 0.05) | 74.82% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Rentistas |
| 1-0 @ 12.34% 2-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 51.89% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0)Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.59% Total : 22.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PenarolPenarol | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 14 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | NacionalNacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | River PlateRiver Plate | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | DanubioDanubio | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Defensor SportingDefensor | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Montevideo WanderersWanderers | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | LiverpoolLiverpool | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Montevideo City TorqueTorque | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Racing de MontevideoRacing | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | CerroCerro | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | FenixFenix | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Boston RiverBoston River | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | La Luz | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 |
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