SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 55.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Rentistas had a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.82%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Rentistas win it was 1-0 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenix would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rentistas | Draw | Fenix |
20.15% ( 0.71) | 24.65% ( 0.39) | 55.2% ( -1.11) |
| Both teams to score 47.05% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.94% ( -0.64) | 54.06% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.51% ( -0.54) | 75.49% ( 0.54) |
| Rentistas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.46% ( 0.41) | 41.54% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.96% ( 0.36) | 78.03% ( -0.36) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.48% ( -0.67) | 19.52% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.6% ( -1.11) | 51.4% ( 1.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rentistas | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.15% Total : 20.15% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.73% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 10.82% ( -0.19)1-2 @ 9.51% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 5.89% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 5.18% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.83% Total : 55.19% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PenarolPenarol | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Montevideo WanderersWanderers | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Cerro Largo | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | NacionalNacional | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Defensor SportingDefensor | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | River PlateRiver Plate | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | DanubioDanubio | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | LiverpoolLiverpool | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | CerroCerro | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Montevideo City TorqueTorque | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | La Luz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | FenixFenix | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Boston RiverBoston River | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Racing de MontevideoRacing | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
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