SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win with a probability of 53.89%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 20.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.81%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih |
20.69% ( -0.65) | 25.42% ( -0.22) | 53.89% ( 0.87) |
| Both teams to score 45.68% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.72% ( 0.13) | 56.28% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.68% ( 0.1) | 77.31% ( -0.1) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.76% ( -0.61) | 42.23% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.36% ( -0.53) | 78.64% ( 0.53) |
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.08% ( 0.41) | 20.92% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.36% ( 0.64) | 53.64% ( -0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih |
| 1-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.09% Total : 20.69% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.66% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 13.82% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 10.81% ( 0.22)1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 5.64% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 4.86% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.23% Total : 53.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 72 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 64 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 61 | 31 | 30 | 64 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 50 | 24 | 26 | 59 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 43 |
| 6 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 41 |
| 8 | Minai | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 33 |
| 9 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 33 |
| 10 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 32 |
| 11 | Rukh Lviv | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 | Inhulets | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 31 |
| 13 | Metalist Kharkiv | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 31 |
| 14 | Veres | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 22 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 51 | -33 | 13 |
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