SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest FC Oleksandriya win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | Draw | FC Oleksandriya |
41.43% ( 0.19) | 27.56% ( -0.02) | 31.02% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 48.2% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.68% ( 0.02) | 57.32% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.85% ( 0.02) | 78.15% ( -0.02) |
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.76% ( 0.11) | 27.24% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.34% ( 0.15) | 62.67% ( -0.15) |
| FC Oleksandriya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.25% ( -0.11) | 33.76% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.58% ( -0.13) | 70.42% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | Draw | FC Oleksandriya |
| 1-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 41.42% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 31.02% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 34 |
| 3 | Polissya ZhytomyrPolissya | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 32 |
| 4 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 31 |
| 5 | Dynamo Kiev | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 25 |
| 6 | Rukh Lviv | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 25 |
| 7 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 22 |
| 8 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | LNZ CherkasyCherkasy | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 | Metalist Kharkiv | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 15 |
| 12 | Obolon KyivObolon | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 14 |
| 13 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 13 |
| 14 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | Veres | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
| 16 | Minai | 15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 6 |
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