SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
37.76% ( -0.79) | 26.2% ( -0.36) | 36.04% ( 1.16) |
| Both teams to score 53.54% ( 1.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.95% ( 1.61) | 51.05% ( -1.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.09% ( 1.4) | 72.91% ( -1.4) |
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.66% ( 0.31) | 26.33% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.52% ( 0.41) | 61.47% ( -0.41) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.67% ( 1.48) | 27.32% ( -1.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.22% ( 1.88) | 62.77% ( -1.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
| 1-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.54) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.76% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.48)2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.99% Total : 36.04% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 33 |
| 3 | Polissya ZhytomyrPolissya | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 31 |
| 4 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 25 |
| 5 | Rukh Lviv | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 24 |
| 6 | Dynamo Kiev | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 22 |
| 7 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 22 |
| 8 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 19 |
| 10 | LNZ CherkasyCherkasy | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 17 |
| 11 | Metalist Kharkiv | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
| 12 | Obolon KyivObolon | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 14 |
| 13 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 13 |
| 14 | Veres | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 12 |
| 15 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Minai | 15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 6 |
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