SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 17.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Famalicao |
60.64% ( -0.07) | 22.26% ( 0.04) | 17.1% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.87% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.11% ( -0.1) | 48.89% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.02% ( -0.09) | 70.99% ( 0.09) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.33% ( -0.05) | 15.68% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.27% ( -0.1) | 44.73% ( 0.11) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.95% ( -0.02) | 42.05% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.52% ( -0.02) | 78.48% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 12.21% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.31% 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 60.63% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0)Other @ 0.84% Total : 22.26% | 0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.32% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 17.1% |
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