Sunday's game sees two sides in contrasting form go head to head with Benfica being strong favourites to come out on top. Looking at the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we predict the hosts will cruise to a comfortable victory in front of their home fans.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 71.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 11.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 1-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-2 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
