Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 54.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Mafra had a probability of 22.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Mafra win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.