SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 18.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.2%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-0 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Porto |
18.27% ( 0.82) | 23.31% ( 0.34) | 58.42% ( -1.15) |
| Both teams to score 47.89% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.65% ( -0.12) | 51.35% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.83% ( -0.1) | 73.17% ( 0.11) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.91% ( 0.92) | 42.09% ( -0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.49% ( 0.78) | 78.51% ( -0.77) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.7% ( -0.44) | 17.3% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.34% ( -0.79) | 47.66% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chaves | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.86% Total : 18.27% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.78% Total : 23.31% | 0-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 11.2% ( -0.28)1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.55% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.62% Total : 58.41% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 63 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 58 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 26 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 46 | 36 | 10 | 45 |
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 35 | 17 | 18 | 41 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 39 |
| 7 | Fulham | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 39 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 38 |
| 9 | Brentford | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 34 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 27 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 27 |
| 14 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 25 |
| 15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 25 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 24 |
| 16 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 23 |
| 17 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 22 |
| 18 | Everton | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 21 |
| 19 | Southampton | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 |
| 20 | Bournemouth | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 21 |
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