SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Lugano | 36 | -1 | 57 |
| 5 | St Gallen | 35 | 1 | 47 |
| 6 | Servette | 35 | -16 | 43 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Sion | 35 | -21 | 40 |
| 9 | Luzern | 35 | -13 | 37 |
| 10 | Lausanne Sport | 36 | -37 | 22 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.8%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Gallen | Draw | Luzern |
| 49.01% | 22.22% | 28.77% |
| Both teams to score 64.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.78% | 35.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.77% | 57.23% |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.22% | 14.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.96% | 43.05% |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.94% | 24.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.67% | 58.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| St Gallen | Draw | Luzern |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% 1-0 @ 6.8% 2-0 @ 6.5% 3-1 @ 5.9% 3-2 @ 4.2% 3-0 @ 4.14% 4-1 @ 2.82% 4-2 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.98% 5-1 @ 1.08% 4-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.37% Total : 49.01% | 1-1 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 6.6% 0-0 @ 3.56% 3-3 @ 2% Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.22% | 1-2 @ 6.9% 0-1 @ 5.07% 0-2 @ 3.61% 1-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 1.71% 1-4 @ 1.17% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.77% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Young Boys | 33 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 78 | 27 | 51 | 68 |
| 2 | Servette | 34 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 54 |
| 3 | LuganoLugano | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 50 |
| 4 | Luzern | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 46 |
| 5 | Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 43 |
| 6 | Basel | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 42 |
| 7 | St GallenSt Gallen | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 40 |
| 8 | FC Zurich | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 38 |
| 9 | FC WinterthurWinterthur | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 32 |
| 10 | Sion | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 31 |
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