SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Young Boys | 35 | 27 | 57 |
| 4 | Lugano | 36 | -1 | 57 |
| 5 | St Gallen | 35 | 1 | 47 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC Zurich | 35 | 33 | 76 |
| 2 | Basel | 35 | 28 | 59 |
| 3 | Young Boys | 35 | 27 | 57 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Basel |
| 33.52% | 23.84% | 42.63% |
| Both teams to score 61.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.23% | 40.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.84% | 63.15% |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% | 23.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.85% | 58.14% |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.59% | 19.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.78% | 51.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | Basel |
| 2-1 @ 7.79% 1-0 @ 6.64% 2-0 @ 4.75% 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-2 @ 3.04% 3-0 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.92% Total : 33.52% | 1-1 @ 10.88% 2-2 @ 6.38% 0-0 @ 4.64% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 8.93% 0-1 @ 7.61% 0-2 @ 6.24% 1-3 @ 4.88% 2-3 @ 3.49% 0-3 @ 3.41% 1-4 @ 2% 2-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.24% Total : 42.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Young Boys | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 80 | 27 | 53 | 71 |
| 2 | Servette | 34 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 54 |
| 3 | LuganoLugano | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 51 |
| 4 | Luzern | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 47 |
| 5 | Basel | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 43 |
| 6 | Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 53 | 59 | -6 | 43 |
| 7 | St GallenSt Gallen | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 60 | 50 | 10 | 41 |
| 8 | FC Zurich | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 41 |
| 9 | FC WinterthurWinterthur | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 32 |
| 10 | Sion | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 67 | -27 | 31 |
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