SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Altay | 38 | -18 | 34 |
| 19 | Goztepe SK | 38 | -37 | 28 |
| 20 | Yeni Malatyaspor | 38 | -44 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 38 | -6 | 45 |
| 17 | Caykur Rizespor | 38 | -27 | 36 |
| 18 | Altay | 38 | -18 | 34 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeni Malatyaspor win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeni Malatyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Caykur Rizespor win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Caykur Rizespor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Yeni Malatyaspor | Draw | Caykur Rizespor |
39.44% ( 0.92) | 25.5% ( 0.54) | 35.07% ( -1.46) |
| Both teams to score 55.82% ( -2.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.93% ( -2.58) | 48.07% ( 2.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.76% ( -2.42) | 70.23% ( 2.41) |
| Yeni Malatyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.93% ( -0.68) | 24.07% ( 0.68) |
