SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Kayserispor | 38 | -7 | 47 |
| 15 | Gaziantep | 38 | -8 | 46 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 38 | -6 | 45 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 38 | -6 | 45 |
| 17 | Caykur Rizespor | 38 | -27 | 36 |
| 18 | Altay | 38 | -18 | 34 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gaziantep win with a probability of 53.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gaziantep win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Caykur Rizespor win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gaziantep would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gaziantep | Draw | Caykur Rizespor |
53.54% ( 0.25) | 23.36% ( -0.05) | 23.1% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 54.94% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.42% ( -0.01) | 45.57% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.1% ( -0.01) | 67.9% ( 0.01) |
| Gaziantep Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.04% ( 0.08) | 16.96% ( -0.09) |
