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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 1
Sep 14, 2020 at 6pm UK
Antakya Atatürk Stadı
IB
Hatayspor
2 - 0
Istanbul
Ilgaz (36'), Barbosa (90+1')
Ribeiro (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Caicara (29'), Skrtel (54')
Coverage of the Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Istanbul Basaksehir.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.

Result
HataysporDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
40.3%26.09%33.61%
Both teams to score 53.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.11%50.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.23%72.76%
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.12%24.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.51%59.49%
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27%28.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.43%64.56%
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 40.3%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 33.61%
    Draw 26.08%
HataysporDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 9.94%
2-1 @ 8.63%
2-0 @ 6.92%
3-1 @ 4%
3-0 @ 3.21%
3-2 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 40.3%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 7.15%
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.91%
1-2 @ 7.73%
0-2 @ 5.56%
1-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.61%

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Turkish Super Lig Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray30224468264270
2Fenerbahce30214575373867
3BesiktasBesiktas31198460293165
4Adana Demirspor30169562332957
5Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul30156944321251
6KayserisporKayserispor31153135251148
7KonyasporKonyaspor31111284034645
8TrabzonsporTrabzonspor30136114744345
9Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk30101196355841
10AlanyasporAlanyaspor31108134655-938
11SivassporSivasspor31107144245-337
12AntalyasporAntalyaspor30106144147-636
13AnkaragucuAnkaragucu30105153743-635
14KasimpasaKasimpasa3197153751-1434
15Istanbulspor2985163658-2229
16Giresunspor2969143054-2427
17GaziantepGaziantep3067173154-2325
18UmraniyesporUmraniyespor3058173855-1723
19Hatayspor3065191965-4623
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