Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 22.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 2-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
