SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Rogaska had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Rogaska win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rogaska | Draw | Celje |
33.69% ( -0.32) | 24.95% ( 0.2) | 41.35% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 57.39% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.08% ( -0.99) | 45.91% ( 0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.78% ( -0.94) | 68.22% ( 0.94) |
| Rogaska Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.73% ( -0.66) | 26.27% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.61% ( -0.89) | 61.39% ( 0.89) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.84% ( -0.37) | 22.16% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.45% ( -0.56) | 55.55% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rogaska | Draw | Celje |
| 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.26% Total : 33.69% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.95% | 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.37% Total : 41.35% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Celje | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 13 | 28 | 44 |
| 2 | NK Olimpija LjubljanaLjubljana | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 34 |
| 3 | Koper | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 30 |
| 4 | Maribor | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | NK BravoBravo | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
| 6 | NK DomzaleDomzale | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 23 |
| 7 | NS Mura | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
| 8 | Radomlje | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
| 9 | Aluminij | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 15 |
| 10 | Rogaska | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 11 |
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