SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Koper had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Koper win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maribor | Draw | Koper |
45.08% ( 0.01) | 25.21% ( -0.01) | 29.7% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 54.79% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.46% ( 0.03) | 48.54% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.34% ( 0.02) | 70.66% ( -0.02) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.46% ( 0.02) | 21.54% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.4% ( 0.02) | 54.6% ( -0.02) |
| Koper Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.83% ( 0.01) | 30.17% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.68% ( 0.02) | 66.32% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maribor | Draw | Koper |
| 1-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.66% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 45.08% | 1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.16% 0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.17% Total : 29.7% |
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