SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 69.75%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Nafta had a probability of 12.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Nafta win it was 1-2 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | Nafta |
69.75% ( 0.02) | 17.5% ( -0.01) | 12.75% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.09% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.52% ( 0.02) | 36.48% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.37% ( 0.03) | 58.63% ( -0.03) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.6% ( 0.01) | 9.4% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.37% ( 0.03) | 31.63% ( -0.03) |
| Nafta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.7% ( -0) | 40.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.07% ( -0) | 76.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Celje | Draw | Nafta |
| 2-0 @ 10.59% 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.35% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.59% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.93% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.48% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.33% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.12% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0)6-0 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 3.41% Total : 69.75% | 1-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.5% | 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.44% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.56% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.33% 1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 1.6% Total : 12.75% |
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