SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zilina win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Skalica had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zilina win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Skalica win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zilina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zilina | Draw | Skalica |
39.61% ( 0.14) | 24.48% ( -0.05) | 35.91% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 59.56% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.7% ( 0.24) | 43.3% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.31% ( 0.24) | 65.7% ( -0.23) |
| Zilina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( 0.17) | 21.87% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.89% ( 0.26) | 55.11% ( -0.26) |
| Skalica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.22% ( 0.07) | 23.78% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.07% ( 0.09) | 57.93% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zilina | Draw | Skalica |
| 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.01% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 39.61% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.48% | 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.91% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 35.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zilina | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 25 |
| 2 | Podbrezova | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | Slovan Bratislava | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Trencin | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 23 |
| 5 | DAC Dunajska StredaDunajska Streda | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 20 |
| 6 | Banska Bystrica | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | Spartak Trnava | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Skalica | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | MFK RuzomberokRuzomberok | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 13 |
| 10 | FK Kosice | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 7 |
| 11 | Zemplin MichalovceMichalovce | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 4 |
| 12 | Zlate Moravce | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 3 |
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