SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 41%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 28.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.48%) and 1-2 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.45%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 1-0 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sudtirol | Draw | Pisa |
28.51% ( -0.04) | 30.49% ( 0.02) | 41% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 39.57% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.5% ( -0.07) | 67.5% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.4% ( -0.05) | 85.6% ( 0.05) |
| Sudtirol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.66% ( -0.07) | 41.34% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.14% ( -0.06) | 77.86% ( 0.06) |
| Pisa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.46% ( -0.03) | 32.54% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.93% ( -0.03) | 69.07% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sudtirol | Draw | Pisa |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.23% Total : 28.51% | 0-0 @ 13.45% ( 0.04) 1-1 @ 13.34% 2-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.49% | 0-1 @ 15.1% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 41% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 35 |
| 2 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
| 3 | Como | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 31 |
| 4 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 30 |
| 5 | Cremonese | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 29 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 29 |
| 7 | Palermo | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 28 |
| 8 | Modena | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 27 |
| 9 | Brescia | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
| 10 | Sampdoria | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 22 |
| 11 | BariBari | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 | SudtirolSudtirol | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 | Pisa | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 18 |
| 15 | Ternana | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Reggiana | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 17 |
| 17 | AscoliAscoli | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 | SpeziaSpezia | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 16 |
| 19 | Lecco | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 16 |
| 20 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 31 | -19 | 10 |
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