SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 19.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palermo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Palermo | Draw | Sudtirol |
53.58% ( 0.17) | 26.48% ( -0.07) | 19.94% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 41.98% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.38% ( 0.12) | 60.62% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.29% ( 0.09) | 80.71% ( -0.09) |
| Palermo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.16% ( 0.13) | 22.84% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.43% ( 0.18) | 56.57% ( -0.18) |
| Sudtirol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.4% ( -0.05) | 45.6% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.59% ( -0.04) | 81.41% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palermo | Draw | Sudtirol |
| 1-0 @ 15.37% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 53.57% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0)Other @ 0.49% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.65% Total : 19.94% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 26 |
| 2 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 21 |
| 3 | Palermo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | VeneziaVenezia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Como | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
| 6 | SudtirolSudtirol | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 7 | Cremonese | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | Modena | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
| 10 | Reggiana | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Brescia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 13 |
| 12 | Cittadella | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Pisa | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | AscoliAscoli | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | BariBari | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 16 | SpeziaSpezia | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Sampdoria | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Ternana | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 22 | -17 | 5 |
| 20 | Lecco | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 4 |
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