Coverage of the Serie B clash between Lecce and Parma.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 62.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Parma had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
