Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Parma had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
