Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
